The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has issued an early alert confirming an 81% probability of a "very strong" El Niño event, with a 97% chance that it will persist into early 2027. Paired with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)—which historically amplifies rainfall across East Africa—the upcoming October–November–December (OND) short rains are projected to bring extreme, above-average...